Our monthly property market review is intended to provide background to recent developments in property markets, as well as to give an indication of how some key issues could impact in the future.
The recently released 'Broker Barometer' from Shawbrook Bank has revealed that 67% of commercial mortgage brokers are feeling confident about the lending environment in 2020. Just over half of respondents (53%) stating they feel confident about business growth in the year ahead.
Despite the political environment and ongoing Brexit uncertainty, a quarter of respondents to the survey have reported no change in business volumes this year. In fact, 25% of the commercial mortgage brokers surveyed cited a 10% increase in business volumes this year.
The top challenges that brokers expected their businesses to face next year were the impact of Brexit (58%), valuation issues (53%) and lending restrictions (36%).
Sales Director for Commercial Mortgages at Shawbrook Bank, Emma Cox commented on the results: "Despite the broker community showing some concern around the impact of Brexit as the deadline draws near, their confidence in business and the commercial property market for 2020 is still high…there is still opportunity for experienced investors to grow and diversify their portfolios, providing they do their homework and seek appropriate advice. The barometer results have further highlighted this trend with a number of commercial mortgage brokers citing a large increase in the number of investors diversifying into the market."
Research from Savills has identified that the number of active requirements for UK shopping centres has risen in four key regional submarkets; Scotland, Wales, the Midlands and the North West. Despite the challenges facing the retail industry, leisure operators and retailers are continuing to see value in opening sites in shopping centres and are actively pursuing regional premises.
The research highlights that with consumer spend shifting towards experiences, requirements for leisure operators has increased 100% on 2018, with every UK region experiencing growth. Continued growth has been seen in the health and fitness and leisure market, which now accounts for 18% of all active requirements, rising from 12.4% in 2018. Demand is particularly pronounced in London, with 26 active leisure requirements in the capital, up 117% year-on-year.
Savills Commercial Research Director, Marie Hickey, commented: "As we see a shift in how consumers are spending their time and money, we are witnessing the change that this is having on active requirements and space demands. Both leisure and health and fitness operators are continuing to take a bigger share of requirements in the market, and this is only expected to rise further as the sector continues to grow."
In addition, requirements for food and beverage operators are now at their highest level, accounting for the largest share of active requirements at 45%. Despite London dominating previous growth, demand has spread to the regions, particularly within the North West and Scotland.
|HOUSE PRICE INDEX (AUG 2019)||123.2*|
|AVERAGE HOUSE PRICE||£234,853|
*(Jan 2015= 100)
|Region||Monthly Change (%)||Annual Change (%)||Average Price (£)|
(Quarter 2 - 2019)
|East of England||0.3||0.1||£294,192|
|West Midlands Region||1.5||2.4||£201,510|
|Yorkshire & The Humber||0.2||1.0||£165,76|
Source: The Land Registry
Release date: 16/10/2019 Next date release: 13/11/2019
|PROPERTY TYPE||ANNUAL INCREASE|
|FLAT / MAISONETTE
Source: The Land Registry
Release date: 16/10/2019
Contains HM Land Registry data © Crown copyright and database right 2017. This data is licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0
Source: UK Finance
Release date: 25/09/2019
It is important to take professional advice before making any decision relating to your personal finances. Information within this document is based on our current understanding and can be subject to change without notice and the accuracy and completeness of the information cannot be guaranteed. It does not provide individual tailored investment advice and is for guidance only. Some rules may vary in different parts of the UK. We cannot assume legal liability for any errors or omissions it might contain. Levels and bases of, and reliefs from, taxation are those currently applying or proposed and are subject to change; their value depends on the individual circumstances of the investor. No part of this document may be reproduced in any manner without prior permission.
Stay up to date
Enter your name and Email below to join our mailing list and receive our Newsletter